Overpaying rarely works, there's always an opportunity around the corner (Aaron Gordon to Denver, OG to NY, Porzingis and Derrick White to Boston, etc). You just have to be patient and have the assets when it presents itself. Trae's price could go down significantly if things go sour in Atlanta, Washington could make some of their players available (Gafford?), maybe there's a logjam or someone becomes disgruntled, you never know but it happens every season. Teams sense when there's blood in the water and the price goes up, I'd say good examples on how to handle yourself are Leon Rose and Pelinka (especially last year with how many pieces he got for a single pick). Desperation ends in disaster much more often than not.