Toronto Pick Watch (Top 6 protected)

[onechance87]

The best they can be is six imo, nearly impossible for them to reach portland.

hornets got ball back...Think they will win a lil more

[SpursBills]

Yes but the odds at 5 will favor Toronto keeping the pick. Only 5 games on the win column with Portland with still over 30 game left. Plenty of time for Portland to pass them if they start sitting players.

If Portland finishes with the 4th worst record in the league 3 years in a row, there is still a 47% chance that their pick conveys. If they finish with the 4th worst record 2 years and the 5th worst record for 1 year, there's a 58% chance that their pick conveys. Even if they finish with the 3rd worst record 3 years in a row, there is a 20% chance that the pick conveys. If you wanted to wager money right now that the pick doesn't convey over the next 3 years, I am happy to take you up on this as I think that the odds favor the pick conveying over the next 3 years.

[spurraider21]

hornets got ball back...Think they will win a lil more

bizarro world scenario where hornets rampage up the standings, secure a play-in spot, make the playoffs, and have their pick convey while the raptors tank into a top 6 pick

[mo7888]

Don't count on that. Portland can slide above them if Toronto tanks hard.

Not gonna happen...and Portland will move Brogdon

[twodeep]

While Toronto just traded Siakam to the Pacers that increase their chance of them having a top 6 pick now.

[rascal]

If Portland finishes with the 4th worst record in the league 3 years in a row, there is still a 47% chance that their pick conveys. If they finish with the 4th worst record 2 years and the 5th worst record for 1 year, there's a 58% chance that their pick conveys. Even if they finish with the 3rd worst record 3 years in a row, there is a 20% chance that the pick conveys. If you wanted to wager money right now that the pick doesn't convey over the next 3 years, I am happy to take you up on this as I think that the odds favor the pick conveying over the next 3 years.

I would take the side that the pick will convey over the next three years.

[rascal]

Not gonna happen...and Portland will move Brogdon

Portland is going to gain a game on Toronto tonight.

[mo7888]

Portland is going to gain a game on Toronto tonight.

Probably, and it still won't matter.

[TXstbobcat]

Raptors putting the Ike Turner beatdown on Miami tonight.

[mo7888]

Probably, and it still won't matter.

Looks like we are both wrong on that game..

[SpursBills]

I would take the side that the pick will convey over the next three years.

good, so you acknowledge that it’s a lot more likely the pick conveys - so no need to complain about the pick when the odds are it’ll convey one way or another

[rascal]

good, so you acknowledge that it’s a lot more likely the pick conveys - so no need to complain about the pick when the odds are it’ll convey one way or another

Better it conveys in the top ten this year. No idea where that pick will be next year or the year after.

[scott]

Raptors putting the Ike Turner beatdown on Miami tonight.

Siakam was holding the Raptors back the whole time. Now we are getting the 30th pick after Toronto runs the table.

[rascal]

Siakam was holding the Raptors back the whole time. Now we are getting the 30th pick after Toronto runs the table.

Their front office hasn't started their tank yet. Still half the season to go.

[Frenchfred]

Siakam was holding the Raptors back the whole time. Now we are getting the 30th pick after Toronto runs the table.

they actually don't have a bad starting 5, I can see them winning several games and finishing in the play-in

[Mr. Body]

Crushed Miami. They're going to play hard and win enough games to possibly tick up the rankings or at least stay put. Again I think the FO is good to let this pick go and look to cap space and their later picks this summer.

[exstatic]

Wrong....We got wemby and are worst then last year

[on purpose]

[spurraider21]

[on purpose]

as if that makes it better

[BackHome]

We were all happy with the end result last draft. Lol. As I said after we got the number 1 pick in the draft - WHEN YOUR LUCKY KEEP ROLLING THE DICE.

[CorrectCrusader]

Back away from the pipe dude. What the would we do with Poeltl right now? It was a good trade. Even if Toronto goes for a hard tank (which they are not) it will likely convey. I bet most people wouldn't write this crap if their real names were attached to it. Anonymity breeds stupidity.

Lol have you ever been outside?
Most people are just dumb

[exstatic]

Yes but the odds at 5 will favor Toronto keeping the pick. Only 5 games on the win column with Portland with still over 30 game left. Plenty of time for Portland to pass them if they start sitting players.

I’ll say this for like the tenth time: TORONTO IS CLOSER TO #11 than #5.

[rascal]

I’ll say this for like the tenth time: TORONTO IS CLOSER TO #11 than #5.

We will see by the end of the year. Still a half season to go and they are going to want that top 10 pick.

[exstatic]

We will see by the end of the year. Still a half season to go and they are going to want that top 10 pick.

They just beat Miami by 24 points, and organization sources have said they aren’t tanking. I’m much more worried about them dropping to 10 or 11 than drawing into the top 6 in the lottery.

[onechance87]

portland sob just lose fckers

[Ditty]

The Nets have been sucking. Would not be surprised if they continue drop in standings and give the Rockets a good pick. Especially if they trade away Bridges.