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  1. #1376
    Just Right of Atilla the Hun Yonivore's Avatar
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    On deciding to be irrelevant to you, Yonivore. It may bruise your ego to learn that is not a big step in either direction for me.
    Got it.

    So, other than me, you're confident the rest of the forum -- both those for whom you deign relevance and those, like me, whom you do not -- will just take your assertion at face value?

    No, no bruised ego.
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  2. #1377
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Funny, too, because this is one topic where I don't agree with Manny.
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  3. #1378
    Just Right of Atilla the Hun Yonivore's Avatar
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    Funny, too, because this is one topic where I don't agree with Manny.
    But, do you think it's reasonable he won't support his assertions with sources?
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  4. #1379
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    But, do you think it's reasonable he won't support his assertions with sources?
    He wasn't unreasonable with me when we discusses this.

    I do think he's being unreasonable with you, but that's his choice. Much like when you choose the be unreasonable.
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  5. #1380
    Just Right of Atilla the Hun Yonivore's Avatar
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    He wasn't unreasonable with me when we discusses this.

    I do think he's being unreasonable with you, but that's his choice. Much like when you choose the be unreasonable.
    So, for you, reasonableness is personality driven.
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  6. #1381
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    So, for you, reasonableness is personality driven.
    How so?
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  7. #1382
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Got it.

    So, other than me, you're confident the rest of the forum -- both those for whom you deign relevance and those, like me, whom you do not -- will just take your assertion at face value?

    No, no bruised ego.
    Oh if certain people were to want to discuss it I would be more than happy to provide the proof to back up what I say. You're not certain people.
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  8. #1383
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Recent "rates of change" are unremarkable.

    http://theinconvenientskeptic.com/20...rature-change/
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  9. #1384
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Recent rates of change for climate change will start to become negative, TBH. Winter is coming.
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  10. #1385
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Recent rates of change for climate change will start to become negative, TBH. Winter is coming.
    Recent, meaning the last 100 years.
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  11. #1386
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Oh well then in that case I would say you're wrong.
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  12. #1387
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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  13. #1388
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    The Gore-a-thon on WUWT

    Wish I had time to post all the panels because I know, not many of the alarmists in here will bother; but, the cartoonist created a panel for each hour of the "Gore-a-thon" and, it's hilarious...


    Funny stuff.
    I guess, if you think cherry-picked data, logical fallacies, and poor reasoning funny.

    That link is simply more fodder for the OP. I counted about eight logical fallacies and a bunch of cherry-picked, misleading data.

    It is a re-hash of all the types of things that makes me say that people like you are guilty of politically-driven pseudoscience.

    Yet another emotionally appealing group of arguments that eschew logic and honest representations of data to make a case.
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  14. #1389
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    But, do you think it's reasonable he won't support his assertions with sources?
    Scoreboared Reference post. Links to follow over the course of the dialogue.


    Yonivore:
    First logical fallacy (ad hominem):
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=405
    Questions asked of Yonivore, Yoni ignored:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...82&postcount=7

    Questions asked of Obstructed View:



    DarrinS:
    First illogical statement (illogical because it assumes the premise):
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...9&postcount=58
    Second illogical statement (ad hominem)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=237
    Third illogical statement (ad hominem)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=275
    Fourth illogical statement (strawman)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=278
    Fifth illogical statement (appeal to popularity)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=286
    Sixth illogical statement (strawman)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=323
    Seventh illogical statement (slippery slope)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=332
    Eighth illogical statement (ad hominem):
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=389
    Ninth illogical statement (ad hominem)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=364
    Tenth illogical statement (strawman)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=563
    Eleventh illogical statement (strawman)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=643
    Twelfth illogical statement (strawman)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=713

    Fair question concerning DarrinS' assertion asked:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=338
    Question ignored:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=342
    Question restated:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=347
    Question ignored
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=357
    One failed question, discarding DarrinS false assertion, final post in series:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=361

    Second fair question regarding an assertion:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=412

    Cherry-picking data:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=560


    Wild Cobra:
    One logical fallacy, 4 unproven assertions:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=454
    Second logical fallacy, strawman argument:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=524
    Third logical fallacy, appeal to belief:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=622
    Fourth logical fallacy, ad hominem:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...&postcount=677
    Fifth logical fallacy, strawman argument.
    http://spurstalk.com/forums/showpost...postcount=1202

    Failure to answer a direct question about a concrete asserted hypothesis:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...postcount=1018
    Confirmation bias: (dismissing scientific work without reading it, because he just *knows* its wrong, sight unseen)
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...postcount=1059
    (also see where this confirmation bias leads him to an erroneous conclusion based on a provably wrong starting assumption:
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...postcount=1120
    More confirmation bias (Experts with PhDs and decades worth of research and studies can't possibly have considered enough factors to make reasonable claims in their fields of study, even when these factors are readily recognizable by someone with no credentials in that field because he disagrees with the ultimate conclusion):
    http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...postcount=1075
    First direct comparison of climate scientists who think that human are affecting climate to Nazis in the thread.
    http://spurstalk.com/forums/showpost...postcount=1335


    Tyson Chandler:

    uh-huh.

    (edit)
    or if you prefer:


    But, do you think it's reasonable he won't support his assertions with sources?
    And as many or more [scientists] disagree with the AGW scare.
    (crickets)

    ------------------------

    Couldn't quite decide which to go with.

    To be fair, the burden is on Manny, and he is being unreasonable.

    At some point though, when you play games with people who essentially cheat, it becomes more than a little frustrating to stick to the rules. Can't say I blame him for giving y'all the finger.
    Last edited by RandomGuy; 09-19-2011 at 11:28 AM.
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  15. #1390
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Do you have a link to a paper(s) that show the current rate of change is unusual?
    http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_...l_papers.shtml

    Knock yourself out.
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  16. #1391
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Interesting link.

    It is obvious you didn't read the comments. The guy got pwned on his own blog.

    I found the analysis somewhat spurious because of the way it joined older data with newer as if they were really comparable. They aren't, and that flawed starting assumption makes the conclusions drawn from it suspect.

    Par for the course from skeptics, it seems.

    (edit 1)
    Was going to put this in a seperate post, but let's put it here.

    Although preliminary estimates from published literature and expert surveys suggest striking agreement among climate scientists on the tenets of anthropogenic climate change (ACC), the American public expresses substantial doubt about both the anthropogenic cause and the level of scientific agreement underpinning ACC. A broad analysis of the climate scientist community itself, the distribution of credibility of dissenting researchers relative to agreeing researchers, and the level of agreement among top climate experts has not been conducted and would inform future ACC discussions. Here, we use an extensive dataset of 1,372 climate researchers and their publication and citation data to show that (i) 97–98% of the climate researchers most actively publishing in the field support the tenets of ACC outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and (ii) the relative climate expertise and scientific prominence of the researchers unconvinced of ACC are substantially below that of the convinced researchers.
    http://www.pnas.org/content/early/20...87107.abstract

    This becomes relevant because the link you provided was that of a semi-conductor engineer's blog post.

    Again, par for the course.


    edit 2:


    lol @ "tens of thousands" of scientists.

    By the way, this line of reasoning is a fallacy known as "appeal to authority".

    Person A is (claimed to be) an authority on subject S.
    Person A makes claim C about subject S.
    Therefore, C is true.
    http://www.nizkor.org/features/falla...authority.html

    This fallacy is committed when the person in question is not a legitimate authority on the subject. More formally, if person A is not qualified to make reliable claims in subject S, then the argument will be fallacious.
    Last edited by RandomGuy; 09-19-2011 at 11:30 AM.
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  17. #1392
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    "the relative climate expertise and scientific prominence of the researchers unconvinced of ACC are substantially below that of the convinced researchers. "

    "This becomes relevant because the link you provided was that of a semi-conductor engineer's blog post."


    Dr. Rajenda Pachauri, head of the IPCC.
    Railroad engineer
    PhD in Industrial Engineering and Economics
    "He is a strict vegetarian, partly due to his beliefs as a Hindu, and partly because of the impact of meat-production on the environment." LOL


    You should research the bios of some of the IPCC lead authors. You might be surprised.
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  18. #1393
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Pretty generic RG. Which one is relevant to "rate of change"?
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  19. #1394
    Just Right of Atilla the Hun Yonivore's Avatar
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    At some point though, when you play games with people who essentially cheat, it becomes more than a little frustrating to stick to the rules.
    No !

    I've encountered the same thing over all the Bush Hating.

    Well put.

    Now, back to Manny and the latest rebuttal to the existence of anthropogenic global warming.

    "Missing" global heat may hide in deep oceans

    What the article basically says is this; we cannot explain why the earth isn't warming like we said it would so, we're going to make up a new hypothesis, hard (if not impossible) to disprove, start plugging new assumptions into our faulty models based on this hypothesis, and tell you that's why it isn't warming as fast as we said it would.

    It's not that we don't play by the rules, it's that Manny won't even acknowledge there is a reasonable counter to his "consensus" that anthropogenic global warming is occurring. This is but one.

    The other, longer running counterpoint is that Al Gore refuses to live like there's a crisis while he continues to tell us there is one.

    And, speaking of unanswered questions. Exactly what is the the optimal temperature for earth?
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  20. #1395
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Its tough to say. Perhaps you could try a bit of reading?
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  21. #1396
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Yoni, the belief that the deep oceans are holding a lot of heat is not new in the least. You're analysis of that article is one of ignorance and shows your lack of familiarity on the subject. Perhaps you and Darrin could try reading up on the subject a bit more as opposed to cherry picking what you want?
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  22. #1397
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Actuallly, more on the subject of warming oceans, the behavior of the Arctic this summer gives a good indicator of just how much more energy the oceans are beginning to hold. In 2007 when we had the lowest extent of sea ice, there was a confluence of conditions that only happen on average once every 2 decades or so. This year, when we for all intents and purposes tied that extent level we had no such conditions and we were losing ice even at times when the air temp was substantially cool to at the least prevent melt from occurring. The reason for this was the fact that the melt was occurring from the bottom due to oceanic heat content that was very high.

    Although we did not reach the lowest extent of sea ice on record outside of one measuring system, we most certainly did - once again - set the record for lowest volume of sea ice which is the better measurement since we definitely do not live in a two dimensional world.
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  23. #1398
    Just Right of Atilla the Hun Yonivore's Avatar
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    Yoni, the belief that the deep oceans are holding a lot of heat is not new in the least. You're analysis of that article is one of ignorance and shows your lack of familiarity on the subject. Perhaps you and Darrin could try reading up on the subject a bit more as opposed to cherry picking what you want?
    If it's not new, why are the scientists just now figuring out it could be the reason their global warming predictions were wrong?

    It's not a hard question, Manny.

    From the article...first paragraph;

    The mystery of Earth’s missing heat may have been solved: it could lurk deep in oceans, temporarily masking the climate-warming effects of greenhouse gas emissions, researchers reported on Sunday.

    Climate scientists have long wondered where this so-called missing heat was going, especially over the last decade, when greenhouse emissions kept increasing but world air temperatures did not rise correspondingly. …
    Mystery? Wonder? Yeah, sounds like they've been onto this for quite awhile, Manny.

    AlGore acolytes are embarrassed the earth isn't heating up like their models predicted it would. Usually, in the world of science, empirical evidence contradicting a theory tends to refute it. Not so with the religion of Global Warming. Empirical evidence that contradicts their articles of faith just cause them to tinker with theory so as to make it harder to falsify.

    This is just another hypothesis to provide another faulty assumption to plug into their already failed models.
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  24. #1399
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    I'm sorry since when do the scientists work for Reuters and write bylines? If you and others were smart enough to tell the difference between a scientific study and a news article it might do you some good.

    Tell you what. Show me the place in the referenced study either of those 2 things are declared.

    Thanks in advance!!!!
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  25. #1400
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    I guess, if you think cherry-picked data, logical fallacies, and poor reasoning funny.

    That link is simply more fodder for the OP. I counted about eight logical fallacies and a bunch of cherry-picked, misleading data.

    It is a re-hash of all the types of things that makes me say that people like you are guilty of politically-driven pseudoscience.

    Yet another emotionally appealing group of arguments that eschew logic and honest representations of data to make a case.
    The specialists at Cherry Picking data are the alarmists.

    Did you watch the video I posted? Here it is again:



    10 days ago was the first I saw of it, but it highlights many points we 'deniers' have said over and over, and the excuses saying we were wrong are all very lame.
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