Alright.... my machines Babbage analytic engine (built from scratch over 7 months out of Lego specifically for running these simulations) is done. After 2.4 trillion simulations, the Spurs get the top pick 10.5% of the time.
My PREDICTION (which is really just what I want to happen but I'm going...
I generally agree (and that's what the history mostly bares out) - but Ayton is the counter example, IMO. Not a max player, but commanded max money.
I think Ayton threads a needle that you hope to avoid. Most of the top picks are either obvious max players, or are so underperforming that they...
I guess my beef with that argument is Risacher probably wouldn't get a max offer sheet signed if he's putting up Vassell numbers unless he's unbelievable defensively. If no team agrees you're a max player by actually offering max money you're not a max player. Also that would be after four years,...
Not buying into this whatsoever. The Spurs' recent history isn't nearly as impressive (it's shining moment is making the obvious choice of picking Victor). In the Wright era (regardless of who is actually making the picks), the Spurs have been quite lackluster, and until proven otherwise that is...
I didn't bother reading the rest of this, but for future reference, this is essentially what I mean when I say something like "I follow the league closely".
It's not for the nefarious reasons you infer, but to say with the exception of certain CBA minutia, presume I already know or understand.
So, let me just say that I understand this point that you and baseline bum are making, and my counter is that this is a bad position to be. I'd argue that if Ayton was picked #14 and put up the same performance, he wouldn't have gotten that max offer sheet from IND and might have come to some...
It's all just good banter. There is a difference between this and someone who goes on some screed about how this franchise is shit and only notable because Timmy came around to carry Pop, like Luka carrying Yoda, etc.
JBP may fall on a pessimistic scale, but he also brings lots of good takes. So...
I've long been resigned to not moving up or having the Craptors pick convey (and if/when it doesn't, then it should be included in any significant trade that might occur between now and the '25 draft).
I just hope they don't throw the natural pick in the garbage on some raw, (perceived) choir...
I'm not trying to strawman anything, but whether or not Ayton is worth his contract is the point (at least the one I'm making).
Let's say the Spurs draft Risacher at #1 (or any other guy from this draft, it doesn't matter), and he goes out and put up Vassell like numbers but holds steady for a...
Something else to keep in mind is that it was the Pacers who offered Ayton the max in restricted free agency. The Suns never had a choice between paying Ayton the max and paying him less than the max. Their only choice was to pay him the max or let him walk for nothing.
Matching the Pacers' max...
It's hillarious how Spurs went from picking random Euros noone knew or cared about to missing Euro prospects in favor of fundamentally flawed charity cases.
Looking at the next 9 picks after Wesley and I'd immediately want Jovic, Watson, Nembhard and Jaylin Williams over him tbh. I dont even care about missing on J Dub and Kessler with the other picks tbh.
We need a backup center who can play defense.
The biggest problem this team faced when Wby sat was on defense.
I prefer to address our PG and SF needs first but if Sarr or Clingan is an obvious BPA I’m ok taking them and they would likely be as useful as any other rookie.
The Ayton situation is somewhat unusual. I mean, the Suns drafted a guy who, when asked what he was most looking forward to in the NBA, said "My second contract."
Getting rid of bad max contracts is going to get harder in the league as we go on. Again, we don't know how the CBA is going to play...
Good analysis. My overall point is that you never want to overpay for talent. We still don't know how the hugely onerous new CBA is going to work out. Superteams are catastrophic, so long as they make too much money. We may see the Minnesota Timberwolf window closing very rapidly because they can't...
Right. The team clearly needs talent, but there will be so much churn in the next few years that it may be necessary to handle it, like a rapids. They have a roster crunch now. Most of the players won't be around much longer, but it's not actually clear which ones have to go. Clearing room for two...
I'd give my left & my right nuts for that to occur. To see Biden driven before the hoard, then get to the lamentation of the women; Jill, Hillary, Pelosi, bene's wife, my MIL, your MIL, on & on.
I'd rather die than see Biden victorious with this (war). Even if he ain't in office he'd still lord it over me. I can't have it. I hate that SOB more than anyone I've ever hated. And I've hated a lot a people.
You're strawmanning my argument man, I never said Ayton was worth his contract. I said Phoenix was better off paying it because he was a valuable asset. Do you think they would have been better off with nothing instead of Nurkic + Allen? Because that's what you're going to have to argue to say the...
Can you explain to me who the Spurs should have picked in 2022 with those late first rounders instead? The only possible miss was Kessler, but he's already starting to be unplayable.
Look through the list and tell me who they should have very clearly drafted that night:...
In a questionable draft with no top 1-4 players, you should definitely NOT want a pick in that range. You're going to have excruciating decisions down the line with ballooning contracts. Either expect to max that player out or expect to not have them their full career.
If you combined this...
They'll run it back with mostly the same team cuz they're players on cheap contracts, so whatever happens, happens. Then they can make a run at FAs next summer with another season of Wemby to showcase to said FAs.
